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Standard Chartered analyst eyes $100K BTC as US Treasury doubles long-end buybacks

By Diego Whitfield · · 2 min read

Bitcoin could be gearing up for a return to the $100,000 mark, according to Standard Chartered's head of digital assets research, who sees improving liquidity conditions and a decisive move by the US Treasury as key catalysts for the next leg higher.

A Liquidity-Driven Rebound

Geoff Kendrick, Standard Chartered's digital assets research chief, has flagged Bitcoin's climb toward the $69,000 region as a sign that market conditions are turning more favorable. His optimism rests largely on shifting liquidity dynamics that he believes could underpin a sustained recovery in the world's largest cryptocurrency.

Central to Kendrick's thesis is a move by the US Treasury to significantly expand its buyback activity at the longer end of the yield curve. By doubling the pace of these long-dated debt purchases, the Treasury is effectively injecting liquidity into financial markets — a development that tends to benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.

Improving liquidity and a potential cycle bottom could set the stage for Bitcoin's return to six figures.

Kendrick has argued that these buybacks matter because they ease pressure across bond markets and support broader appetite for higher-risk investments. When liquidity flows more freely, capital often rotates into assets such as digital currencies, which historically have been sensitive to macro conditions.

Eyeing a Cycle Bottom

Beyond the liquidity picture, Kendrick suggests that Bitcoin may have carved out a cycle bottom, a technical milestone that would strengthen the case for renewed upside. Establishing a firm floor is often a precondition for the kind of momentum needed to challenge previous highs.

The analyst's broader view is that a combination of supportive macro forces and stabilizing price action could open a path back to the psychologically important $100,000 level. That target would mark a substantial gain from current trading around the high-$60,000 range.

Several factors are shaping the outlook:

  • Expanded US Treasury buybacks at the long end of the curve
  • Improving overall market liquidity conditions
  • Signs that Bitcoin may have established a cycle bottom

As always with forecasts of this kind, execution depends heavily on macroeconomic developments and whether liquidity trends hold. Still, Kendrick's call adds to a growing chorus of analysts watching for Bitcoin to reclaim its record territory as conditions evolve.

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